The Bollinger Upper Band Indicates Pressure, BC Copper Rises by 1.14% [SMM BC Copper Commentary]

Published: Mar 25, 2025 15:40

Today, the international copper 2505 contract opened at 73,100 yuan/mt. In the early night session, it slightly climbed to the intraday high of 73,260 yuan/mt, then fluctuated downward away from the daily average line, touching the lowest of 72,600 yuan/mt. In the afternoon, short positions were covered and long positions were entered, pushing copper prices back above the daily average line, and finally closing at 73,030 yuan/mt, up 1.14%. The trading volume was 9,259 lots, and the open interest reached 11,405 lots, a decrease of 102 lots compared to the previous trading day.

On the macro side, expectations of a US tariff hike on copper continued to strengthen. The price spread between Comex copper and LME copper remained high, and the market remained concerned about Trump's tariff measures. Amid risk-off sentiment and concerns over supply shortages, copper prices still have upward momentum.

The SHFE copper 2505 contract closed at 81,910 yuan/mt. Based on the international copper 2505 contract price of 73,030 yuan/mt, its post-tax price is approximately 82,524 yuan/mt. The price spread between the SHFE copper 2505 contract and the international copper 2505 contract was -614 yuan/mt, maintaining an inverted spread and narrowing compared to the previous trading day.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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